Research & Discoveries

Cardiorespiratory Fitness and Long-Term Mortality: Updated Meta-Analysis

Each 1-MET increase in VO₂ max associates with 11–17% lower mortality — the strongest modifiable predictor identified.

Monika Mikulicz-Pasler·MD, PhD5 min read
Cardiovascular fitness visualization

What was studied?

Researchers pooled data from 37 prospective cohort studies comprising 286,000 participants to quantify the dose-response relationship between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and all-cause mortality.

Key findings

  • Low CRF was associated with a 2.4× higher mortality risk compared to high CRF (HR 2.41, 95% CI: 2.18–2.67).
  • Each 1-MET improvement in VO₂ max corresponded to 11–17% reduction in all-cause mortality.
  • Benefits were consistent across age groups, sexes, and populations with comorbidities.
  • CRF predicted mortality more strongly than hypertension, smoking, or diabetes in head-to-head comparisons.

Why it matters for longevity

VO₂ max testing should be considered a standard component of longevity assessment. Unlike many biomarkers, cardiorespiratory fitness is directly improvable through structured exercise — making it both diagnostic and therapeutic.

Clinical perspective

KCM integrates VO₂ max assessment into comprehensive longevity evaluations. We use results to calibrate exercise prescriptions, set realistic improvement targets, and track physiological progress over time — not merely to assign a fitness category.

Original publication

Source reference

Cardiorespiratory Fitness and Long-Term Mortality: Updated Meta-Analysis

British Journal of Sports Medicine · 2025

DOI: 10.1136/bjsports-2025-108234

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